杰克股份(603337):全球缝纫设备龙头,人形机器人打开成长空间-深度报告

<p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap: wrap;">&nbsp; &nbsp; #核心观点：</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1、杰克股份是全球缝制设备龙头，连续14年全球销量第一，2021年销售额超越日本重机成为全球最大缝制设备企业。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;2、工业缝纫机行业周期属性明显，2024年行业触底反弹，全球市场规模约34亿美元，预计2034年增至60亿美元，CAGR达5.9%。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;3、公司核心竞争力在于规模化数字化解决方案闭环能力，通过爆品策略和研发投入形成&quot;研发→性价比产品→份额提升→反哺研发&quot;的正向循环。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4、公司前瞻布局人形机器人领域，预计2026年推出人形机器人，有望催化接近1万亿的新增市场空间。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;#盈利预测与评级：</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;预计2025-2027年公司营收71.13/74.73/81.18亿元，归母净利润10.80/12.08/14.27亿元，当前市值对应PE为17.62/15.76/13.34X。给予&quot;买入&quot;评级。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;#风险提示：</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;海外业务波动风险；智能化进度不及预期；下游需求不及预期。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;本报告摘要不保证其100%准确性，如有疑问，请阅读正文文件。</p><p><br/></p>