兆易创新(603986):存储价格持续改善,定制化存储先发优势显著-2025年三季报点评

<p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap-mode: wrap;">&nbsp; &nbsp; #核心观点：1、兆易创新2025年三季度实现营收26.81亿元，同比增长31.40%，环比增长19.64%；实现归母净利润5.08亿元，同比增长61.13%，环比增长48.97%；扣非归母净利润4.98亿元，同比增长63.71%，环比增长55.25%。2、25Q3毛利率40.72%，环比提高3.71个百分点；净利率19.27%，环比提高3.74个百分点。3、利基型DRAM产品量价齐升，毛利率季度环比改善明显；海外大厂淡出利基型DRAM市场带来多倍增长空间；公司积极推进下一代工艺制程产品开发和导入，新制程产品明年量产有望提升市场份额。4、定制化存储业务在AI手机、AI PC、汽车、机器人等领域客户拓展顺利；公司在定制化存储领域拥有显著先发优势，与战略供应商有长期良好合作关系。5、Nor Flash价格呈温和上涨趋势；公司45nm NOR Flash产能持续爬坡，预计26年补齐产品线；45nm产品芯片面积缩减约20%，成本下降提升竞争力；产品品质提升至工业级和汽车级标准；服务器市场成为客户首选，有望维持高速增长。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap-mode: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap-mode: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;#盈利预测与评级：预计公司2025-2027年归母净利润为17.01亿元、23.22亿元、30.29亿元。给予26年80xPE，目标价278.36元，维持“强推”评级。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap-mode: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap-mode: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;#风险提示：下游需求不及预期；新品研发不及预期；产能支持不及预期</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap-mode: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-top: 0px; color: rgb(108, 107, 107); font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; line-height: 25.2px; text-wrap-mode: wrap;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;本报告摘要不保证其100%准确性，如有疑问，请阅读正文文件。</p><p><br/></p>